Friday, May 20, 2011

GOP's Popularity Plummets in Key States


After regaining control of the House of Representatives in 1994, the GOP overplayed its hand and foolishly believed it had a mandate to inflict both bad economic policy and the Christianist equivalent to Sharia law on the country. The voters had a quick and violent reaction and the GOP's plans ended up crashing and burning. It seems we may be about to see a reprise of that phenomenon as GOP governors in key states who rode the Tea Party's insanity to victory now potentially pull down the entire GOP effort in 2012. The American public - at least outside of the Tea Party and the Kool-Aid drinkers of the Christian Taliban - do not like extremism and they don't like ideologues. A column in the Daily Beast looks at the free fall in popularity overtaking strident GOP governors in Florida, Ohio and Wisconsin who are dragging the GOP brand down with them. Here are some highlights:
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Less than a year after a cadre of Republican firebrands swept into statehouses from Ohio to Florida to Wisconsin, voters are turning on them. The cycle of over-reach and backlash is in over-drive these days—with significant implications for the 2012 presidential election. In pivotal swing-states where voters narrowly elected Republican governors in 2010—like Florida and Ohio (with 47 electoral votes between them)—evidence of buyer's remorse is piling up fast.
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The latest sign: on Tuesday, Alvin Brown became the first Democrat elected mayor of Jacksonville—Florida's largest city—in 20 years. Just seven months ago, Republicans swept the Sunshine State with Tea Party-backed candidate Rick Scott winning the governor's office with a 1.2 percent margin of victory.
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[I]nstead of consolidating support by reaching out and winning over the reasonable edge of the opposition, as popular past Republican governors like Jeb Bush and Charlie Crist have done, Scott continued with his campaign posture of refusing to talk to the press. He canceled a $2 billion federal high-speed rail project and is seeking to delay (and functionally deny) implementation of an anti-gerrymandering reform ballot referendum overwhelmingly passed in 2010. Now Rick Scott finds himself the least popular newly elected governor in Florida history.
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Reflecting on the upset in the Jacksonville mayor's race, St. Petersburg Political Editor Adam Smith said, "Jacksonville is a Republican stronghold, but even with that relatively conservative electorate polls show Barack Obama more popular than Rick Scott.
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In Ohio, Governor John Kasich is struggling as well, after narrowly defeating Democrat incumbent Ted Strickland last fall. A new Quinnipiac poll released on Wednesday found Kasich's approval numbers decidedly upside down, . . .
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It's not an isolated dynamic—the accelerated buyer's remorse is evident in other states as well. In Maine, Tea Party-backed Republican Paul LePage beat Independent candidate Eliot Cutler by less than 7,500 votes last fall. . . . . A recent poll found that only three out of 10 Maine residents approved of LePage's job in office.
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In Wisconsin, Governor Scott Walker's new effort to have same-sex couples' hospital visitation rights rescinded is unlikely to improve his approval ratings, especially among the 27 percent of independent voters in the state.
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Swing voters supported Republicans in 2010 because they wanted a check and balance against unified Democratic control of Washington. They wanted to rein in unsustainable spending in the name of generational responsibility. They took Republicans at their word that social conservative evangelizing would be 'de-emphasized' in favor of more urgent economic concerns. But the conservative activist crowd couldn't help themselves.
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Extremes are always ultimately their own sides worst enemy—in this case, making it more difficult for Republicans to win swing votes in these pivotal swing states come 2012.

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