Tuesday, January 19, 2010

Obama's and the Democrats' Blunders

If the Democrats lose the Senate race in Massachusetts, the principal blame for the loss will track directly to the White House and the Congressional Democrats who have botched a golden opportunity and - despite a clear mandate - failed to usher in the change promised over and over again throughout the 2008 campaign. Spinelessness, groveling to special interests (especially by Blue Dog Democrats), an insane desire for bipartisanship that was never realistic, the inability to play hardball and control messaging, and a kid glove approach to banks that created the financial melt down have destroyed a once in a generation opportunity. If this is what Democrats deliver when empowered with a super majority in the Senate, control of the House and the White House, many are asking why the Democrats should be left in power. It is the same phenomenon that we saw in Virginia last November when a group of religious extremists swept the state wide slate. Unfortunately, Obama and the Democrats seemed to have learned nothing whatsoever from that debacle. Paul Krugman has a column in the New York Times that looks at some of the idiocy that has brought us to this point. Here are highlights:
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Lately many people have been second-guessing the Obama administration’s political strategy. The conventional wisdom seems to be that President Obama tried to do too much — in particular, that he should have put health care on one side and focused on the economy.
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I disagree. The Obama administration’s troubles are the result not of excessive ambition, but of policy and political misjudgments. The stimulus was too small; policy toward the banks wasn’t tough enough; and Mr. Obama didn’t do what Ronald Reagan, who also faced a poor economy early in his administration, did — namely, shelter himself from criticism with a narrative that placed the blame on previous administrations.
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[I]n December 2008 Mr. Obama’s top economic and political advisers concluded that a bigger stimulus was neither economically necessary nor politically feasible. Their political judgment may or may not have been correct; their economic judgment obviously wasn’t. Whatever led to this misjudgment, however, it wasn’t failure to focus on the issue: in late 2008 and early 2009 the Obama team was focused on little else. The administration wasn’t distracted; it was just wrong.
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The same can be said about policy toward the banks. . . the light-touch approach to the financial industry further entrenched the power of the very institutions that caused the crisis, even as it failed to revive lending: bailed-out banks have been reducing, not increasing, their loan balances. And it has had disastrous political consequences: the administration has placed itself on the wrong side of popular rage over bailouts and bonuses.
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Finally, about that narrative: It’s instructive to compare Mr. Obama’s rhetorical stance on the economy with that of Ronald Reagan. It’s often forgotten now, but unemployment actually soared after Reagan’s 1981 tax cut. Reagan, however, had a ready answer for critics: everything going wrong was the result of the failed policies of the past. In effect, Reagan spent his first few years in office continuing to run against Jimmy Carter.

Mr. Obama could have done the same — with, I’d argue, considerably more justice. He could have pointed out, repeatedly, that the continuing troubles of America’s economy are the result of a financial crisis that developed under the Bush administration, and was at least in part the result of the Bush administration’s refusal to regulate the banks.
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So what comes next? At this point Mr. Obama probably can’t do much about job creation. He can, however, push hard on financial reform, and seek to put himself back on the right side of public anger by portraying Republicans as the enemies of reform — which they are. And meanwhile, Democrats have to do whatever it takes to enact a health care bill.

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